A new, data-driven approach to designing low carbon heating and retrofit solutions for existing homes could help minimise the costs of upgrading the UK’s 27 million homes to meet climate targets, according to a new study.
By analysing data on the energy efficiency of real homes and what residents want from their heating, Energy Systems Catapult has calculated the most efficient low carbon heating upgrade pathways for five common UK housing types in a first-of-its-kind modelling study.
The company say this new approach could provide landlords, housing associations, heating engineers and others a clear, evidence-based way to plan future property improvements and prioritise upgrades which deliver the greatest energy efficiency and comfort. It could also help identify the root causes and innovative solutions to problems that right now are not being addressed effectively, and suggest new ways to improve domestic heating performance and control.
The Catapult’s new Home Energy Dynamics (HED) tool takes data from heating systems, radiators and pipe networks, building fabric, consumer choices/behaviour, and weather, to target the right retrofit solutions for different housing types.
HED has initially modelled five UK housing types – using data from the Catapult’s ‘Living Lab’ of over 100 connected homes – to explore low carbon upgrade pathways that satisfy consumer needs in terms of comfort and practical installation while minimising disruption, energy waste and CO2 emissions.
The plan is to carry out dynamic simulation modelling across a wide range of UK housing types to expand the database available to a range of stakeholders.
The study highlighted a number of possibilities for the design of low carbon heating systems that deliver good comfort, including:
Thermal storage could help manage the demand placed on energy networks, particularly at peak times. However, the space required for thermal storage is typically larger than the space made available for hot water storage in most homes. Innovations, such as the use of phase change materials or deeper levels of fabric retrofit, could make this solution more viable in future, the company says.
Richard Halsey, Director of Capabilities at Energy Systems Catapult, said: “To meet 2050 climate change targets we must eliminate the 20% of UK carbon emissions that come from heating homes, which means in the next decade we will need to be converting millions of homes to low carbon heating every year.
“This will be much easier if the solutions provide households with heating outcomes that are better than what they have today.
“We found that integrating low carbon heating solutions, such as electric heat pumps, hybrid and district heating systems, with smart heating controls and targeted retrofit measures such as improving insulation or upgrading radiators, can deliver better heating outcomes for consumers living in existing housing stock.
“Our research has previously found that 85% of households that trialled smart heating controls, were open to switching to low carbon technology – compared to just 36% of the general population – as long as current or improved levels of comfort and cost could be guaranteed.
“This represents a huge opportunity for the development of better integrated heating solutions and related products and services to deliver low carbon heating at home.
“And the Catapult’s new Home Energy Dynamics tool can help stakeholders assess a range of data in order to choose the right low carbon upgrade pathways for housing stock across the UK.”
A link to the full report can be accessed here.